FC releases December ranking for 2012 NHL Draft

yakupov

Nail Yakupov is still No. 1, but he can hear the footsteps of countryman Mikhail Grigorenko.

Grigorenko jumped into third position in Future Considerations’ December ranking for the 2012 NHL Entry Draft, trailing both Yakupov and Everett Silvertips defenseman Ryan Murray. All three are expected to be major players in the World Junior Championship, underway in Alberta later this month, and their performances could dictate who reigns in January.

“It is time to give Mikhail Grigorenko his due as a legit riser with his play this year in the QMJHL,” scouting director Dan Stewart said.” While he has had a bit of a consistency issues in the past with his Russian team CSKA, his play in Quebec under coach Patrick Roy has been phenomenal.”

Grigorenko isn’t the only prospect trending upwards.

USHL standout Zemgus Girgensons saw a jump of nine positions last month. The consistency in his effort is starting to shine through and Girgensons can continue his ascent with a strong performance for Latvia at the World Juniors.

Girgensons can establish a breakout moment much like Swiss sensation Nino Niederreiter. It was with an unforgettable performance at the 2010 World Junior Championship that secured top-10 status for Niederreiter, who was eventually selected fifth overall by the New York Islanders. It will be up to Girgensons to shine on the international stage.

Windsor Spitfires Nick Ebert is hoping to get the same opportunity. The American has struggled mightily in the Ontario Hockey League this season after showing significant promise a season ago. Ebert’s fall from fourth to 14th is the largest drop and his spot in USA Hockey’s selection camp is no longer as certain as it once was.

Ebert isn’t the only defenseman descending down the draft rankings either. Edmonton Oil Kings defenseman Griffin Reinhart has shone at times and struggled at others this season. The six-foot-four defenseman still shows top-10 promise should he solve his consistency issues.

While Reinhart has dropped, Matia Marcantuoni has slid out of the first round altogether. The oft-injured forward hasn’t produced as expected for the Kitchener Rangers and has been replaced on the list by teammate Radek Faksa.

1). RW Nail Yakupov, Sarnia, OHL, 5-10, 170
2). D Ryan Murray, Everett, WHL, 6-1, 195
3). C Mikhail Grigorenko, Quebec, QMJHL, 6-2, 190
4). D Matt Dumba, Red Deer, WHL, 6-0, 175
5). C Alex Galchenyuk, Sarnia, OHL, 6-1, 185
6). LW Filip Forsberg, Leksand Jr., Swe Jr., 6-1, 175
7). D Morgan Rielly, Moose Jaw, WHL, 6-0, 195
8). D Cody Ceci, Ottawa, OHL, 6-3, 210
9). C Zemgus Girgensons, Dubuque, USHL, 6-2, 185
10). D Jacob Trouba, USNTDP U18, USHL, 6-2, 185
11). D Slater Koekkoek, Peterborough, OHL, 6-2, 185
12). RW Sebastian Collberg, Frolunda Jr., Swe Jr., 5-11, 175
13). LW Pontus Aberg, Djurgarden, Swe., 5-11, 185
14). D Nick Ebert, Windsor, OHL, 6-1, 195
15). D Derrick Pouliot, Portland, WHL, 6-0, 180
16). RW Martin Frk, Halifax, QMJHL, 5-11, 190
17). C Jarrod Maidens, Owen Sound, OHL, 6-2, 175
18). D Olli Maatta, London, OHL, 6-2, 190
19). C Brendan Gaunce, Belleville, OHL, 6-2, 200
20). D Jordan Schmaltz, Sioux City, USHL, 6-2, 175
21). C Phil Di Giuseppe, Michigan, CCHA, 6-1, 195
22). D Griffin Reinhart, Edmonton, WHL, 6-4, 200
23). LW Nicolas Kerdiles, USNTDP U18, USHL, 6’-1, 180
24). D Gianluca Curcuruto, Sault Ste. Marie, OHL, 6-1, 195
25). C Radek Faksa, Kitchener, OHL, 6-2, 180
26). C Henrik Samuelsson, Modo, Swe., 6’-2, 195
27). G Malcolm Subban, Belleville, OHL, 6-0, 175
28). LW Raphael Bussieres, Baie-Comeau, QMJHL, 6-0, 180
29). C/LW Andreas Athanasiou, London, OHL, 6-0, 170
30). G Oscar Dansk, Brynas Jr., Swe Jr., 6-2, 185

2 Responses to “FC releases December ranking for 2012 NHL Draft”

  1. Andrew says:

    Good rankings overall, but i’m a little disappointed you guys are falling into social perception. You guys defended your ranking of Ebert left and right a few times over the last month.. then you drop him 10 spots, becasue others did. You guys made your statement on Girgensons dropping him 8 spots, and elaborating ony our choice. Now because the social perception is he’s doing good in a lower level league like the USHL and you move him up 11 spots from last month. It wouldn’t matter if I haven’t seen on the site and the boards people encouraging you to move them up/down when you defend your ranking.. then going against it by changing it.

    However i’m glad you guys have kept Yakupov at #1, and kept Galchenyuk and Murray in your top 5 keeping changes minimal up there. Hate when rankings get thrown around every month, cause players don’t change that much talent wise. See you on the boards!

  2. Dan Stewart says:

    Andrew thanks for the comments. I enjoy hearing from other hockey and draft enthusiasts.

    I am sorry that you think FC is bending to what others believe but I want to assure you that any variation in rankings has nothing to do with trends or popular opinions but instead based on viewings by our scouts.

    An example of this, with regards to Ebert dropping, can be seen with the below exerts from scouting reports on the Windsor defenseman this year.

    Beginning of October – “Didn’t do much in the first period but played a much greater role in the second and third. Shows good overall positioning and utilized his point shot well. Played well defensively and was just bad luck on a goal against in the second as he was in position but his defense partner made a costly error. Trying to force offensive plays, shots from the point, cross seem passes that are not always there and may be pushing too hard in most areas. Still a top five talent”

    Mid-October – “Ebert is the top OHL defenceman that I have seen this season. He is not flashy, but gets the job done. Projects out as an intelligent two-way defenceman who can play either offensive or defensive roles. Top 10 draft pick for the NHL Draft”

    End of October – “Best game that I have seen Ebert play in a while. He was more aggressive with the puck and was willing to skate it out of trouble. May not be a top 5 prospect for the draft anymore, but still should be a solid top 10-15 selection.”

    Mid-November – “Ebert played to expectations. He has staggered a bit with his overall development/progression, but is nowhere near as bad a prospect as some have him. Should be a solid 1st round draft pick, probably in the 10-18 range.”

    So you can see for these reports that his development trajectory has been falling although not nearly as much as some have suggested.

    The same type of thing but in opposite fashion can be seen in our reports on Zemgus Girgensons.

    From RDO in August – “Girgensons was one of the more dangerous forwards with the puck over the two-day camp. Have some questions about his physical play, his ability to play thought that physical play as well as his willingness to fight down low and along the boards.”

    Beginning of October – “Inconsistency is the name of the game. Shows bursts of fire, speed and strength, then coasts and is not to be seen for extended periods of time. Seems to give 100% in the offensive end and much less in the neutral zone and in the defensive zone (a lot of coasting and circling waiting for the rush to go the other way instead of applying back pressure).”

    End of October – “Really played a more consistent game in all three zones than in my first viewing of Girgensons this season.”

    When we complete our monthly rankings they is not based or given much consideration on how each prospect was ranked the previous month. It is based on the body of work and projected outcome after development that each prospect shows.

    You are right in saying that talent does not change much but there are a lot of other intangibles that do tend to fluctuate over the season that also play a key role in a prospects perception.

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